There’s a gender gap in expressed voter intentions with women leaning more heavily to Prime Minister Andrew Holness’s Labour Party.

The JLP leads the PNP across most age groups, among women, and in at least three income brackets.

Mahiri Stewart has that story.


The bases of both major political parties appear highly motivated to vote on February 26.

Ninety three percent of JLP supporters say they will turn up to vote in the polls.

An identical number of PNP supporters say they’ll be going out on election day.

Interestingly, 3% of PNP supporters say they will vote for the JLP.

That’s compared to 2% of JLP supporters who say they will vote for the PNP.

Voters earning less than 50 thousand monthly are slightly in favour of the PNP, preferring the party 46% to 43% for the JLP.

Those earning between 50 and 80 thousand dollars a month, break heavily for the governing JLP 53% to 41% for the PNP.

Six percent of voters in this cohort are undecided.

Voters earning 80 thousand to 120 thousand dollars monthly also favour the JLP by 10 percentage points, 48% to 38% for the PNP.

Eleven percent of voters in that income bracket are undecided.

The PNP holds a razor thin lead of 1-percentage point among voters earning between 120 and 180 thousand dollars per month, 45% to 44% for the JLP.

Eleven percent of voters in that income bracket are also undecided.

The Opposition PNP also leads among voters earning 180 thousand and 250 thousand dollars monthly, 44% to 38% for the JLP.

Seventeen percent of voters in this bracket are unsure.

The JLP has an 8 percentage point lead among Jamaicans earning more than 250 thousand dollars monthly, leading the PNP 48% to 40%

Twelve percent are unsure.

The JLP seems set to carry women by 8-percentage points over the PNP, with 48% of women saying they’ll vote Labour, while 40% say they’ll vote PNP.

Eleven percent of women are unsure.

There’s a tie between both parties where men are concerned, both winning 45% support.

Nine percent of men are unsure who they’ll vote for.

The JLP leads the PNP heavily among voters 25 to 34, 49% to 38%

The governing party is also ahead with voters 35 to 44, leading the PNP 50% to 42%.

The JLP leads by 9 percentage points among voters 55 to 64, getting 49% support compared to the PNP’s 40%

There’s a tie between both parties among voters 45 to 54, at 47%.

There’s also a tie among 18 to 24 year olds, with both parties picking up 43% support.

The only age cohort where the PNP leads outright is among voters 65 years and older, where the party has a 12-percentage point lead, 50% to just 38% for the JLP.